SPRINGFIELD, Mo. - The weather forecast of the last couple of days appears to still be on track.
Sunshine today lifted temperatures into the low 90's and we will be about the same tomorrow. Isaac is still slowly churning away down by New Orleans. The latest computer models continue to take Isaac on a track through western Arkansas and up into southwest Missouri. Clouds will signal the arrival of Isaac late Thursday and rain could actually break out in our Arkansas counties by Friday morning. The rain will then spread to the north and northeast during the day.
The time of arrival and eventual track will have huge consequences on how much rain falls. If the storm lingers over the region Friday night rainfall amounts could be greatly enhanced, almost doubled! A slight east or west movement would also determine how much rain an area receives.
Residents east of the track center will get far more rain than those west of the track center. Severe weather is a possibility, but for now I would place the risk at 10% or less. The amount of rain and intensity at which it falls will be more of a player than anything else. I would also expect flooding to be a concern during the height of the event however the effect should diminish quickly once the rain ends.