Showers, Clouds, and More Heat

TODAY

90s to 100s

12-hour forecast

Allergy Index

Almanac

Noon Update:
It's what we call a "good oops" in the weather.  Clouds have held tight with persistent showers over the center of the Ozarks from  northwest to southeast.  Temperatures are as cool as the lower 80s and as hot as the upper 90s, all depending on where the sun is out.  Highs will accordingly range from 90s to over 100.  The atmosphere is not expected to change too much over the next few days, making for a very challenging forecast.  Where we get sun highs will easily be in the 100s, but if clouds and showers develop like today it will be significantly cooler in spots. 
 

Early Update:
Good morning!  A few showers have developed early this morning as a low-level jet stream lifts some moisture over a weak stalled front over the southern Ozarks.  There isn't much to get excited about in these showers as they are overall quite light.  The challenge today will be cloud cover, as not only do we have the clouds from our showers (which will likely weaken later this morning) but we have a huge batch of high clouds coming our way from Kansas.  These will likely limit our temps somewhat, but we had substantial clouds yesterday and still hit 104 in Springfield and 107 in Mountain Home and West Plains. We're on the eastern periphery of the big upper ridge and there is plenty of hot air to go around.  However, we're also open to occasional disturbances from the northwest flow that could bring occasional showers and of course, plenty of clouds.  If we get any day between now and Friday with more sun than clouds, look out.  One model is suggesting highs on Wednesday in the 106-111 range over the entire Ozarks, and this model has performed well in recent weeks.  My hunch is that we'll have too much cloud cover for readings quite that hot, but it certainly could happen if we get enough sun.  A very weak front will move through by Saturday night and bring our highs back down into the 90s by Sunday and Monday.