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Rain & Storms Likely Again Tonight

Brandon Beck forecast discussion

Rain this morning will give way to PM sun, then storms tonight.

May 30, 2012|by Brandon Beck, KY3 Meteorologist | bbeck@ky3.com

TODAY

Mid 80s

Early storms, then partly cloudy
TONIGHTlow/ mid 60s
Rain and storms likely
THURSDAYMid 80s
Rain and storms mainly early, the cloudy and cooler

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Good afternoon!  Skies have cleared out this morning but the atmosphere has been rather "worked over" from early storms.  A frontal boundary is just south of the Ozarks, and we have an east wind.  This will likely keep the rich surface moisture just south and west of the Ozarks through tonight.  A strong upper low in Montana is moving southeast and has already kicked up storms over Nebraska.  Other storms are expected to fire in Oklahoma and southern Kansas this afternoon, where there is a moderate risk of severe weather.  My concern is that these storms could intercept the return of moisture northward and cause the northern storms--which would be the most likely to affect the Ozarks--much weaker.  This will really be a wait-and-see approach.  My hunch is that the strength of the upper low should be able to maintain at least scattered storms tonight as the system rolls southeast.  However, the threat of severe weather appears quite low to me, though not out of the question.  Temperatures will stay in the 60s tonight, and be somewhere in the 70s on Thursday depending on clouds.  The front will be through rather quickly with Springfield out of the rain threat by at least noon if not before.  Friday morning temperatures still look to bottom out it the middle 40s, with highs as cool as the upper 60s on Friday afternoon.  A warming trend is in store for the weekend.


Brandon Beck
KY3 Meteorologist
bbeck@ky3.com
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