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Rain Possible Late Tonight and Sunday

Brandon Beck forecast discussion

Severe storms are not expected

only slightly cooler behind front.

May 19, 2012|by Brandon Beck, KY3 Meteorologist | bbeck@ky3.com

TONIGHT

60s

Increasing clouds late with a few showers or storms west of Highway 65 after midnight
SUNDAY80s
Variable clouds with scattered showers and storms likely
MONDAY70s
Partly cloudy

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Good evening!  It was another warm day over the Ozarks with highs in the middle 80s to around 90.  Some fairly thick high clouds likely held temperatures down just a touch.  A cold front in central Kansas and  Oklahoma will move our way late tonight and move through on Sunday afternoon and evening.  We could see a few showers or storms over western-most parts of Missouri and Arkansas after midnight tonight, though these will likely run out of steam as cooling takes place.  The better chance of rain will be during the afternoon and evening of Sunday as we warm up and the cold front moves in.  Temperatures will generally be in the lower to middle 80s with the warmest readings around West Plains and Mountain Home, AR and the coolest readings near Joplin and Rogers, AR.  Of course clouds and any rain will mean locally cooler readings.  The front will clear the area by early Monday morning bringing a dry day.  We’ll see 70s for Monday and perhaps in spots on Tuesday, but long-range models are showing a pattern change for the latter half of next week.  As a deep trough develops in the middle and upper atmosphere over the western United States, an impressive upper-level ridge is forecast to develop over the central and eastern part of the country.  While the models disagree somewhat on the exact placement of the ridge’s core, all indicate temperatures at least in the middle and upper 80s.  If the European model is correct and the ridge centers directly overhead, highs could be as warm as the middle 90s.  Unfortunately this kind of pattern also means more dry weather is in store.  Given the very dry conditions already in place over the eastern half of Missouri and most of Arkansas, this expected pattern is not good news.


Brandon Beck
KY3 Meteorologist
bbeck@ky3.com
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