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Another Sticky Day

Isolated storms

Isolated Storms

Strong storms may affect far western counties late this evening.

May 11, 2011|Brandon Beck | Meteorologist

TODAYUpper 80s
Becoming partly cloudy; isolated storms late in the far west.
TONIGHT
Near 70
Weakening storms west, then variable clouds.THURSDAY

Mid 80s

Scattered storms likely, some severe
12-hour forecast
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Widespread clouds are beginning to thin a bit at noon with most locations still in the 70s.  With some sun we'll quickly warm into the 80s this afternoon, though it will be a race to get to the upper 80s.  A large cap of warm air will prevent storms today, but another disturbance in Texas is moving our way and could bring at least far western portions of the region a few storms tonight.  A large storm in the Rockies will bring significant storm to the plains tomorrow, and a few of these could make it to our counties by tomorrow night.  Then a cold front will bring scattered severe storms to the region on Thursday.

Early Discussion:

 Good morning!  We're starting out in the 70s in most locations this morning with plenty of humidity.  A very small disturbance in the middle atmosphere is coming north out of Texas and clouds have expanded a bit over the Ozarks ahead of it.  There have been occasional blips on the radar as well, but a large lid of warm, dry air above the surface *should* keep storms from forming today.  Highs will be near yesterday's readings but may be slightly cooler due to clouds.  A  large upper system over the Rockies will begin moving east on Wednesday.  Severe storms are likely over the plains, and there is a small potential that these could reach the western parts of the Ozarks very late tomorrow night or early Thursday.  The low and cold front will move slowly east and bring what I think will be our best chance of storms on Thursday.  Some of these will likely be severe, though the extent of that threat isn't completely known yet.  Behind the front we'll cool off again.  An upper low will spin nearby over the weekend and could bring a few spotty showers both Saturday and Sunday.  However, this will not be a general rain and those that do get rain will see very light amounts.  Temperatures this weekend will only be in the 60s.

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Brandon Beck
KY3 Stormteam
Meteorologist
bbeck@ky3.com

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