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Milder Monday

Severe weather chance Tuesday

Another round of rain and storms before sub-freezing temps again

March 06, 2011|KY3 Storm Team Meteorologist Dave Snider | dsnider@ky3.com

OVERNIGHT
Near 30º
Fair weather clouds and milder
MONDAY
Near 50º
Increasing clouds; showers and storms very late at night in the West
TUESDAYUpper 50s
Slight risk for severe storms
12-hour forecast
ky3 12 hour forecast24-hour forecastky3 24 hour forecastSatellite & Radarky3 sat radWind Chillky3 heat indexAllergy Indexky3 allergy indexAlmanacky3 almanacRadarCAST
RadarCAST for the next 3 hours in the Ozarks
Three Day Outlook
3 day outlook
TempCAST
TempCAST
ChillCAST
 
ChillCAST

WARMER SUNDAY... THANKS TO SOME SUN

This time of year incoming solar radiation really packs a punch.  So when it's absent it's completely noticeable as we saw Saturday.  And when we have a mainly sunny to partly sunny sky as we did today, temperatures reach close to average.  
Today's high was only 49º in Springfield, but most of the Western parts of the Ozarks were able to reach close to or just above 50º.
DRY, OVERCAST MONDAY

Pacific  moisture is clearing moving over the Rockies and the Central Plains toward our backyard. This will help hold temperatures at a milder level than earlier this morning when lows dropped into the mid 20s.  SEVERE STORM RISK TUESDAY

Rain and thunder may begin as early as late Monday night and early Tuesday morning.  And this has big implications for what happens Tuesday afternoon and evening in the severe storm arena.
If rain begins early and lasts into the day, the amount of instability available for larger storms to form will be limited.  But if rain holds off, severe storms may have an easier time forming in Northern Arkansas (where there's a Slight Risk of storms already) and Southern Missori counties including the Ozarks.
The main threats at the moment include heavy rain, hail and straight-line winds. 
Wind shear is present to encourage tornadoes and stronger thunderstorms, but the amount of (or lack of) instability may end up being the most important ingredient to this forecast puzzle.SNIDELY STAMP GOES TO...
Friday.  First, it's Friday... and then you add a dry day with a high near 60º.  I think I heard someone say "winning" during the weathercast tonight. 

Enjoy your week,


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Dave Snider
KY3 Storm Team
Meteorologist

dsnider@ky3.com
 

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