Big Warm-Up This Weekend

TODAYUpper 50s
Mostly sunny and breezy
TONIGHTnear 40

Mostly clear, not quite as cold

The forecast is on track at the noon hour with temperatures already in the low to middle 50s.  The fire danger will be high this afternoon and Saturday as warmer and windy conditions prevail.  Moisture will increase on Sunday but I still don't expect much rain.  In fact, the latest computer models are suggesting that we may get very little rain even early next week before much colder air invades for Thanksgiving.

Morning Discussion

Good morning!  The south wind is blowing this morning and temperatures in most locations have responded by either holding steady or slowly rising.  Low clouds continue to plague eastern parts of the Ozarks but with a good breeze today they should break with time.  Highs will be in the upper 50s for most of us today with a gusty wind.  In fact, the wind will get stronger over the weekend and gusts will likely be over 30 mph both Saturday and Sunday.  Highs will be in the middle and upper 60s, possibly near 70 on Sunday if we get enough sun.  Low level moisture will gradually increase and bring some clouds to the region, but I don't expect any rain until at least Monday night and particularly Tuesday as the main front moves in.  This front will initially hang up a bit over northern Arkansas and then the final wave of low pressure will move along the front Tuesday night and Wednesday.  This will sling the front through by Wednesday afternoon and temperatures will crash.  At this point I don't expect any winter weather, but it will be much, much colder by Thanksgiving.  Lows will start in the low 20s with a high in the 30s!