TODAY Mid 80s
Mostly sunny; isolated showers extreme west
TONIGHT Near 60°
Partly cloudy; a small chance of a shower over central Missouri
TUESDAY Mid 80s
Partly cloudy, slightly warmer
24-hour forecast Satellite & Radar Heat Index Allergy Index Almanac
Good morning! High pressure at the surface is centered over southeast Missouri this morning. The result is a temperature in the mid 50s for most locations under mostly clear skies. Some limited moisture is sneaking up around the back (west) side of the high and showers have developed over northeast Oklahoma. Computer models forecasted this and all of them keep the rain west of us. I agree with that scenario given the dry air in place here. A cold front currently across Iowa into northern Kansas will move southward into northern Missouri, roughly to around I-70. It is then forecast to lift back north into Iowa as a wave of low pressure develops along it. A round of storms is likely near this front, and the upper level winds will push them south somewhat. The question is, how far? Our in-house model actually brings rain as far south as Lebanon tomorrow morning, but I have a hard time believing it will survive that far into the dry air. I'll allow for a slight chance of showers but I think the chance is quite slim. This front will dance around a bit through Wednesday and finally come through on Thursday. We won't have the best moisture or lift so the rain chance looks fairly small at this point. Temperatures will be in the mid 80s most of this week.